Wisconsin vs. Purdue odds, line, spread, time: 2023 college football picks, Week 4 predictions by proven model

A pivotal Big Ten battle launches Week 4 of the 2023 college football season when the Wisconsin Badgers visit the Purdue Boilermakers on Friday. The Boilermakers (1-2) lost their first two home games of the season, including a 35-20 defeat against Syracuse in Week 3. Another loss could put their bowl hopes in serious jeopardy before they hit the thick of a rugged conference schedule. The Badgers (2-1) are coming off a 35-14 home win over Georgia Southern in which they overcame a touchdown deficit in the third quarter by scoring 28 unanswered points. 

Kickoff is slated for 7 p.m. ET from Ross-Ade Stadium. The Badgers are 6-point favorites and the over/under for total points scored is 53.5 in the latest Wisconsin vs. Purdue odds. Before making any Purdue vs. Wisconsin picks, make sure you check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of nearly $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen profitable returns. 

Now, the model has locked in on Wisconsin vs. Purdue and just released its picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for Wisconsin vs. Purdue:

• Wisconsin vs. Purdue point spread: Wisconsin -6 
• Wisconsin vs. Purdue over/under: 53.5 points  
• Wisconsin vs. Purdue money line: Wisconsin -230, Purdue +190 
• WIS: The Badgers have won 16 straight meetings in this series, dating to 2003 
• PUR: The Boilermakers are 2-4 against the spread as a home underdog since 2020 
• Wisconsin vs. Purdue picks: See picks at SportsLine
• Wisconsin vs. Purdue live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why Wisconsin can cover

The Badgers will look to build momentum off their best stretch of the season, which came last week in the second half against Georgia Southern. Following a sluggish first half, they scored on three consecutive third-quarter possessions to take control and eventually pull away. Although the defense yielded 455 total yards to the Eagles, it was also opportunistic and forced six turnovers, five of which came from interceptions. The Badgers became the first Big Ten program since 200 to record at least five sacks and five interceptions in the same game.

Quarterback Tanner Mordecai, who had previous stops at SMU and Oklahoma, led a balanced offensive attack that is preferred by first-year coach Luke Fickell. Mordecai completed 19 of 30 passes for 236 yards. He also rushed for 36 yards and two touchdowns. The Badgers piled up 206 rushing yards, led by junior Braelon Allen with 94 yards on 12 carries with two touchdowns. They averaged 5.4 yards per carry as a team. See which team to pick here.

Why Purdue can cover

The Boilermakers have been uneven in the first three games of their first season under coach Ryan Walters. They have shown ample firepower with Texas transfer Hudson Card under center but have been felled by critical mistakes at key junctions. Purdue had 11 penalties for 127 yards in the loss to Syracuse, including numerous pass-interference infractions that prolonged drives for the Orange. They also turned the ball over four times, and the final turnover halted a possible game-tying drive and set up Syracuse to seal the victory with a short touchdown drive. 

On the bright side, the Purdue defense pitched a shutout in the second half of its 24-17 road win over Virginia Tech in Week 2, forcing two turnovers while committing zero. Card has completed 65.5% of his passes for 825 yards and three touchdowns against just one interception. He has rushed for 41 yards and two scores. See which team to pick here.

How to make Purdue vs. Wisconsin picks

The model has simulated Purdue vs. Wisconsin 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under on the point total, and also has generated an against-the-spread pick that hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the model’s picks and analysis at SportsLine. 

So who wins Purdue vs. Wisconsin, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Purdue vs. Wisconsin spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that’s up more than $2,500 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.