Winthrop vs. Longwood prediction, odds: 2022 Big South Tournament final picks, best bets from proven model

The 2022 Big South Tournament comes to a rousing conclusion on Sunday afternoon with a titanic matchup. The No. 1 seed Longwood Lancers take on the No. 2 seed Winthrop Eagles in a nationally televised battle for the conference title. Longwood is 25-6 overall this season and 17-1 in Big South play, with the Lancers riding a seven-game winning streak. Winthrop has won 10 consecutive games, posting a 23-8 overall record and a 16-2 mark in conference games.

Tip-off is at 12 p.m. ET in Charlotte. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Eagles as 2.5-point favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 142.5 in the latest Winthrop vs. Longwood odds. Before you make any Longwood vs. Winthrop picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $1,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Winthrop vs. Longwood, and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions for the Big South Tournament 2022. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several college basketball odds and betting lines for Longwood vs. Winthrop:

• Winthrop vs. Longwood spread: Winthrop -2.5
• Winthrop vs. Longwood over-under: 142.5 points
• Winthrop vs. Longwood money line: Winthrop -140, Longwood +120
• Winthrop: The Eagles are 9-9 against the spread in Big South games
• Longwood: The Lancers are 12-6 against the spread in Big South games

Why Winthrop can cover

Winthrop is one of the best shooting teams in the country. The Eagles are in the top five nationally in effective field goal percentage, including a two-point shooting mark of nearly 58 percent. Winthrop leads the Big South in both categories, and the Eagles are also in the top three of the conference in offensive efficiency and 3-point accuracy. Winthrop is No. 2 in the Big South in free throw creation rate, with a top-five offensive rebounding mark in the conference and a top-three mark in avoiding blocked shots on offense. 

On the other end, Winthrop is steady and solid, ranking No. 3 in the Big South in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Eagles are in the top four of the conference in turnover creation rate, shooting efficiency allowed, and assist rate allowed, with Longwood near the bottom of the country in having almost 12 percent of shots blocked for the season.

Why Longwood can cover

Longwood has been the class of the Big South this season and, while the Lancers lead the conference in free throw prevention and steal rate on defense, the team’s offense leads the way. The Lancers lead the conference in adjusted offensive efficiency by a comfortable margin, and Longwood also leads the Big South in 3-point accuracy at nearly 39 percent in conference games. Longwood is No. 2 in the conference in turnover rate, giving the ball away on only 17 percent of possessions, and the Lancers are No. 1 in the Big South in avoiding live-ball turnovers. 

When the Lancers do miss shots, Longwood is No. 2 in the Big South in offensive rebound rate, securing 31.5 percent of misses. Longwood is also in the top three of the conference in free throw creation rate and free throw accuracy, making 72.4 percent of shots at the charity stripe overall and nearly 75 percent in conference games.

How to make Longwood vs. Winthrop picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 148 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Longwood vs. Winthrop? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks.