Rams vs. Bengals odds, line, spread: 2022 Super Bowl picks, predictions, bets from model on 137-97 run

The Los Angeles Rams exploded out of the gate this season, winning seven of their first eight games. They stumbled at the midway point with three consecutive losses, but righted the ship and won five of their final six contests en route to their third NFC West title in five years. Los Angeles (15-5) can capture the second championship in franchise history when it faces the Cincinnati Bengals (13-7) in the 2022 Super Bowl on Sunday, Feb. 13. The Rams are 0-2 in Super Bowls while residing in California, winning their only Vince Lombardi Trophy after the 1999 season while located in St. Louis.

Kickoff from SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles is set for 6:30 p.m. ET. Los Angeles is a 4.5-point favorite in the latest Rams vs. Bengals odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 48.5. Before locking in any Bengals vs. Rams picks, make sure you see the latest Super Bowl predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters the 2022 Super Bowl on an incredible 137-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Amazingly, it hasn’t missed a top-rated pick since Week 14 of the regular season.

The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em playsers four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Rams vs. Bengals in Super Bowl 56. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook and trends for Bengals vs. Rams:

• Rams vs. Bengals spread: Los Angeles -4.5
• Rams vs. Bengals over-under: 48.5 points
• Rams vs. Bengals money line: Los Angeles -200, Cincinnati +170
• LAR: Rams are 2-5 against the spread in their last seven playoff games as favorites
• CIN: Bengals have covered in seven straight games

Why the Rams can cover

Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford was second in the NFL during the regular season in touchdown passes as he matched his career-high with 41. But he also threw 17 interceptions, tying Jacksonville’s Trevor Lawrence for most in the league. Stafford has done a strong job cutting down on mistakes in the 2022 NFL playoffs, however, as he has been picked off just once while making six TD tosses, two in each game.

The 33-year-old has formed a lethal connection with wide receiver Cooper Kupp in his first season with the Rams. Including the NFL playoffs 2022, they have produced 20 touchdowns to join Tom Brady and Randy Moss (24 in 2007) as the only quarterback-receiver duos in NFL history to team up for at least 20 TDs in their first season together. The 28-year-old Kupp led the league with 1,947 receiving yards in 2021, 17 shy of the single-season record set in 2012 by Detroit’s Calvin Johnson, who also had Stafford throwing to him.

Why the Bengals can cover

Cincinnati demonstrated its ability to recover in the AFC title game, as it matched the largest comeback in conference championship history (2006 Indianapolis Colts) when it erased a 21-3 deficit. The Bengals tightened up defensively in that contest, giving up only 2.4 yards per play in the second half and overtime after surrendering 8.9 in the first 30 minutes. They gave up 18 first downs and failed to record a sack or interception in the opening half before allowing Kansas City to move the chains only six times while sacking Patrick Mahomes on four occasions and picking him off twice after halftime.

Joe Burrow has won six consecutive starts since falling in overtime against San Francisco in Week 14 of the regular season. The Bengals also are 6-0 this season with the 25-year-old under center when they are at least three-point underdogs. In addition to leading Cincinnati to 13 victories thus far this campaign, Burrow has kept the team close, as only two of its seven losses were decided by more than three points.

How to make Rams vs. Bengals picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total. In fact, it says neither Matthew Stafford nor Joe Burrow throws two touchdowns. It also says one side of the spread cashes nearly 60 percent of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bengals vs. Rams in Super Bowl 56? And which side of the spread cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Rams vs. Bengals spread to jump on for the 2022 Super Bowl, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,500 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.