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NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, best bets, predictions for Week 13, 2021: Model high on Colts, Broncos

Written by on December 3, 2021

Many fans and bettors left the Miami Dolphins for dead after a loss to the Bills on Halloween, the team’s fifth defeat in a row. However, the team enters the Week 13 NFL schedule on a four-game winning streak, having picked up wins in every week since that loss. According to the Week 13 NFL odds at Caesars Sportsbook, the Dolphins are three-point favorites in their matchup this Sunday against the Giants.

The Giants, who parted with offensive coordinator Jason Garrett after a 30-10 loss to the Buccaneers on Nov. 22, enter at 4-7 and 5-6 against the spread. Can Miami cover one of the slimmest NFL spreads of the week? All of the Week 13 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 13 NFL picks now.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,100 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 13 of the 2021 season on an incredible 131-94 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 13 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 13 NFL predictions

One of the model’s strongest Week 13 NFL picks is that the Colts (-9) cover the spread against the Texans with points to spare. While Houston is still slogging through a woeful season, the Colts have been trucking along after losing their first three games. Bolstered by running back Jonathan Taylor, they’ve gone 6-3 since then, with two of those losses coming in overtime. SportsLine’s model projects Taylor to eclipse the 100-yard mark in another big game on Sunday in a win.

SportsLine’s simulations have the Colts winning and covering the spread in well over 60 percent of simulations, making them a top pick for the Sunday slate. The model also has the under (45.5) hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations.

Another one of the model’s Week 13 NFL predictions: The Broncos (+9.5) cover against the Chiefs at Arrowhead. It’s the third-largest spread of the week, per the Week 13 NFL Vegas odds at Caesars Sportsbook, and SportsLine’s model sees an opportunity for anyone willing to take a large underdog. Kansas City has found itself again after early season struggles, but this game will test how potent the Chiefs really are.

The Broncos may have traded away Von Miller, but their defense has still held opponents under 400 total yards in their last four games. Quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has been cooking up a strong season that has supplied the team with enough competent play to win games. SportsLine’s model projects him to get an assist from running backs Melvin Gordon and Javonte Williams, both of whom the model projects to get 60 yards on five yards per carry. SportsLine’s simulations have Denver covering the spread well over 60 percent of the time.

How to make Week 13 NFL picks

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 13 NFL schedule, and it’s calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So which NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $7,100 since its inception, and find out.

Week 13 NFL odds, spreads, lines

Thursday, Dec. 2

Cowboys at Saints (+4.5 47.5)

Featured Game | New Orleans Saints vs. Dallas Cowboys

Sunday, Dec. 5

Vikings at Lions (+7, 46.5)

Featured Game | Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings

Cardinals at Bears (+8, 45.5)

Featured Game | Chicago Bears vs. Arizona Cardinals

Buccaneers at Falcons (+11, 50.5)

Featured Game | Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Colts at Texans (+9, 45.5)

Featured Game | Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts

Eagles at Jets (+7, 45.5)

Featured Game | New York Jets vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Chargers at Bengals (-3, 50.5)

Featured Game | Cincinnati Bengals vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Giants at Dolphins (-4, 40.5)

Featured Game | Miami Dolphins vs. New York Giants

Washington at Raiders (-2.5, 49.5)

Featured Game | Las Vegas Raiders vs. Washington Football Team

Jaguars at Rams (-13, 47.5)

Featured Game | Los Angeles Rams vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Ravens at Steelers (+4.5, 44)

Featured Game | Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens

49ers at Seahawks (+3, 45.5)

Featured Game | Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers

Broncos at Chiefs (-9.5, 47)

Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos

Monday, Dec. 6

Patriots at Bills (-2.5, 43.5)

Featured Game | Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots

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