Lakers vs. Heat prediction, odds, line, start time: 2023 NBA picks, Nov. 6 best bets from proven model

The Los Angeles Lakers will look to get back on track when they take on the Miami Heat in a key NBA matchup on Monday night in Miami. The Lakers (3-3), who have won two of three, are looking to win their first road game of the season after dropping their first three. The Heat (2-4), who have lost four of five, are 2-1 on their home court in 2023-24. Both teams have struggled with point differential, with the Lakers at minus-3.9, while the Heat are minus-4.7.

The game from Kaseya Center will tip off at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Lakers are averaging 111.8 points per game, while the Heat average 107.3. Miami is a 1-point favorite in the latest Lakers vs. Heat odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 222.5. Before making any Heat vs. Lakers picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five seasons. The model enters Week 3 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a 79-42 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Heat and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Heat vs. Lakers:

• Lakers vs. Heat spread: Miami -1
• Lakers vs. Heat over/under: 222.5 points
• Lakers vs. Heat money line: Los Angeles -104, Miami -117
• LAL: Have hit the money line in 53 of their last 93 games (+18.30 units)
• MIA: Have hit the money line in 20 of their last 36 games (+18.35 units)
• Lakers vs. Heat picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Heat can cover

Small forward Jimmy Butler, who is bothered by an injured knee, is probable and expected to play against Los Angeles. The former 2011 first-round pick has scored 13 or more points in each game, including a double-double in a 103-102 opening-game win over Detroit on Oct. 25. In that game, he scored 19 points and grabbed 13 rebounds. For the season, he is averaging 17.2 points, 7.2 rebounds, 3.2 assists and 1.4 steals.

Forward Duncan Robinson leads the team coming off the bench. In six games, he is averaging 24.7 minutes of action, scoring 11.7 points, with 1.8 rebounds and 1.8 assists. He is coming off an 18-point and six-assist effort in the win over Washington on Friday night. In seven career games against the Lakers, he is averaging 11.3 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.7 assists. See which team to pick here.

Why the Lakers can cover

Center Anthony Davis has played in six games this season and is averaging a double-double. He has dominated with 26.3 points, 13 rebounds, 3.7 blocks, 3.2 assists and 1.2 steals per game. In a 106-103 win over Orlando on Oct. 30, he scored 26 points while grabbing 19 rebounds. He scored 30 points in back-to-back games against the Kings and Suns late last month. In 14 career games against Miami, he is averaging 26.1 points, 11 rebounds, 2.7 blocks, 2.4 assists and 2.2 steals.

Also dominating play is forward LeBron James. The veteran has registered two double-doubles and has scored 20 or more points in five games in 2023-24. In a 130-125 win over the Los Angeles Clippers on Wednesday, James scored 35 points while grabbing 12 rebounds and dishing out seven assists. Since 2013, he has faced the Heat 18 times, scoring 26.8 points, grabbing eight rebounds and dishing out 6.5 assists per game. See which team to pick here.

How to make Lakers vs. Heat picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 229 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Heat vs. Lakers, and which side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 79-42 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, and find out.