Knicks vs. Bulls prediction, odds, line, spread: 2022 NBA picks, March 28 best bets from proven model

The Chicago Bulls and New York Knicks square off at Madison Square Garden on Monday evening. The Bulls are 43-31 overall and 17-21 on the road this season, winning two of the three previous games against the Knicks. New York is 33-42 and on a three-game winning streak, with the Knicks facing a back-to-back after a win on Sunday. Chicago is currently the No. 5 seed in the Eastern Conference standings, while New York is No. 11, 4.5 games out of the final play-in spot with seven games remaining. Lonzo Ball (knee) is out for Chicago, with the Knicks’ injury report uncertain with the quick turnaround.

Tipoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET in New York. Caesars Sportsbook lists Chicago as the five-point favorite on the road, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 223 in the latest Bulls vs. Knicks odds. Before locking in any Knicks vs. Bulls picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 24 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 83-51 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,600. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Knicks vs. Bulls. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Bulls vs. Knicks:

• Bulls vs. Knicks spread: Bulls -5
• Bulls vs. Knicks over-under: 223 points
• Bulls vs. Knicks money line: Bulls -200, Knicks +170
• CHI: The Bulls are 15-22-1 against the spread in road games
• NYK: The Knicks are 14-22 against the spread in home games

Why the Bulls can cover

Chicago’s strength is on offense, with the Bulls ranking in the top 10 of the NBA in points per possession and firmly in the top five of the league in field-goal percentage, 3-point percentage and free-throw percentage. The Bulls also have a strong projection against New York’s offense, though, and Chicago is very good on the defensive glass. The Bulls are in the top eight of the NBA in securing 73.4 percent of available defensive rebounds, and Chicago is in the top 10 of the league in allowing only 12.6 second-chance points per game. 

Chicago’s opponents average only 11.9 fast break points per game, and the Bulls are in the top five in allowing only 11.9 3-pointers per game. New York ranks No. 23 in the NBA in offensive efficiency, and the Knicks struggle mightily in specific categories. The Knicks are last in the NBA in points in the paint and assists, with bottom-five marks in 2-point accuracy and assist-to-turnover ratio.

Why the Knicks can cover

New York is in the top 10 of the NBA in offensive rebound rate, securing more than 29 percent of missed shots. That offensive rebounding proficiency leads to more than 14 second-chance points per game, and the Knicks commit fewer than 14 turnovers per game. New York is above-average in frequency and accuracy from 3-point range, and Chicago ranks in the bottom quartile of the NBA in field-goal percentage allowed, 3-point percentage allowed and turnover creation on defense. 

Defensively, the Knicks are stingy, holding opponents to fewer than 1.11 points per possession. New York is in the top 10 of the NBA in field-goal percentage allowed, 3-point percentage allowed, defensive rebound rate, second-chance points allowed, fast-break points allowed and points allowed in the paint. Opponents are averaging only 24 assists per game against the Knicks, and the Bulls are in the bottom third of the NBA in free-throw attempts on offense.

How to make Bulls vs. Knicks picks

The model is leaning under on the total. It’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Knicks vs. Bulls? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.