Jets vs. Browns odds, spread, line: Thursday Night Football picks, predictions from model on 178-129 roll

Week 17 of the 2023 NFL season kicks off when the Cleveland Browns host the New York Jets on Thursday Night Football. Cleveland (10-5) recorded its third consecutive victory when it cruised past Houston 36-22 on the road last weekend and can clinch a playoff berth with another win in this matchup. New York (6-9), which edged Washington 30-28 at home on Sunday, is looking to avoid a third straight road loss and improve to 5-1 in its last six trips to Cleveland. The Browns will be without wide receiver Amari Cooper (heel) on Thursday night. 

Kickoff from Cleveland Browns Stadium is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Cleveland is a 7-point favorite in the latest Jets vs. Browns odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 33.5. Before making any Browns vs. Jets picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 17 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 178-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 32-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Browns vs. Jets and just locked in its picks and Thursday Night Football predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Jets vs. Browns: 

• Jets vs. Browns spread: Cleveland -7
• Jets vs. Browns over/under: 33.5 points
• Jets vs. Browns money line: Cleveland -333, New York +261
• CLE: Browns are 5-0 against the spread as home favorites this season
• NYJ: Jets are 1-4-1 ATS on the road in 2023
• Jets vs. Browns picks: See picks at SportsLine
• Jets vs. Browns live stream: Stream TNF on Amazon Prime

Why the Browns can cover

Cleveland’s defense ranks first in the NFL against the pass, giving up an average of 160.1 yards per game through the air, and 10th versus the run (100.2 yards allowed). The Browns have a good chance of lowering those averages as they face a New York offense that is anemic in every facet. The Jets are last in the league in total offense (263.5 yards), 31st in passing (173.1), 28th in rushing (90.3), and 30th in scoring (15.4 points).

New York has allowed 61 sacks, the second-most in the NFL, and now will contend with a Cleveland pass rush that has recorded 44 to rank ninth in the league. Defensive end Myles Garrett leads the charge with 13 sacks, which tie him for seventh. The 27-year-old, who was selected first overall in the 2017 NFL Draft, has gone five games without a sack but has registered nine in five career meetings with the Jets. See which team to pick here.

Why the Jets can cover

A pair of youngsters played a large role in New York’s comeback victory at Cleveland in Week 2 of the 2022 season. Running back Breece Hall rushed seven times for 50 yards and made a 10-yard catch with 11 seconds to play in the second quarter for his first NFL touchdown. Wide receiver Garrett Wilson, who finished last campaign with four TD receptions and three 100-yard performances en route to NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year honors, made his first two scoring catches and reached triple digits in receiving yards (102) for the first time in the win against the Browns.

Hall and Wilson have been the few bright spots on the Jets’ offense this year as the former leads the team in rushing with 732 yards and four TDs, while the latter is first with 958 receiving yards and three touchdown catches. The 22-year-old Hall, who also has 65 receptions for 537 yards and three scores, became the first player in team history with at least 75 rushing yards, 75 receiving yards, and a pair of touchdowns in a single game last week against the Commanders. Wilson, who amassed 1,103 receiving yards in 2022, is looking to join George Sauer Jr. (1966-68), Don Maynard (1967-68) and Keyshawn Johnson (1998-99) as the only players in club history to record 1,000 receiving yards in back-to-back seasons. See which team to pick here.

How to make Browns vs. Jets picks on TNF

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over the point total, calling for 36 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model’s TNF picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Browns vs. Jets on Thursday Night Football, and which side of the spread cashes well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Browns vs. Jets spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 178-129 roll on NFL picks, and find out.