Heat vs. Warriors odds, line: 2022 NBA picks, March 23 prediction from proven computer model

The Miami Heat will take on the Golden State Warriors at 7:30 p.m. ET Wednesday at FTX Arena. Miami is 47-25 overall and 26-9 at home, while Golden State is 47-25 overall and 18-16 on the road. This will be the second meeting between these teams this year, as Golden State picked up a 115-108 win in the first tilt. 

Miami is favored by seven points in the latest Heat vs. Warriors odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under is set at 211. Before entering any Warriors vs. Heat picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 22 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 79-49 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Warriors. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Warriors vs. Heat:

• Heat vs. Warriors spread: Heat -7
• Heat vs. Warriors over-under: 211 points

What you need to know about the Heat

Miami continues to lead the Eastern Conference, but its lead was trimmed to two games in a loss to Philadelphia on Monday night. The Heat had their two-game winning streak snapped in the 113-106 loss. Guard Tyler Herro is having his best month of the season, averaging 24.3 points per game in March. 

He is also shooting a red-hot 46.2 percent from 3-point range and is knocking down 93.5 percent of his attempts from the charity stripe. Forward Jimmy Butler leads the Heat with 21.3 points and 1.7 steals per game. Miami has covered the spread in five of its last six home games against Golden State but it has a lengthy injury report tonight. Herro (knee), Butler (ankle), Victor Oladipo (back) and Caleb Martin (knee) are all listed as questionable, while Gabe Vincent (toe) is out.

What you need to know about the Warriors

Golden State will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak on Wednesday night. The Warriors are coming off consecutive losses to Boston, San Antonio and Orlando, but they were without star guard Steph Curry for the last two games. He suffered a left foot injury in the loss to the Celtics and will be out again for this game. 

Jordan Poole led all scorers with 32 points in Golden State’s win over Miami in January. He is averaging a career-high 17.3 points per game this season and will need to step up in Curry’s place. The Warriors have won 10 of their last 15 games against the Heat. 

How to make Heat vs. Warriors picks

The model has simulated Heat vs. Warriors 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Heat? And which side covers almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.