Club America vs. Guadalajara prediction, odds: Expert reveals 2022 Mexican Liga MX picks for March 12

The two most successful teams in Mexican Liga MX history square off Saturday night in Guadalajara when Chivas hosts Club America in El Clasico Nacional. The major rivalry could be a high-scoring affair, as both teams have been yielding a lot of goals, but that has not been the trend in previous seasons, so they could find their footing. America has a record 13 Liga MX titles, and it finished atop the Apertura standings after the regular season but is off to a 1-3-5 start. It sits in last place, while Guadalajara, which has won 12 titles, is ninth at 3-2-4. The teams are part of the league’s big four, along with Cruz Azul and Pumas, and this national rivalry is billed as the biggest game in Mexico. 

Kickoff at Estadio Akron is set for 10 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Guadalajara as the +140 favorite (risk $100 to win $140) on the 90-minute money line in its latest Chivas vs. Club America odds. America is a +205 underdog, a draw is also listed at +205 and the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before making any Chivas vs. Club America picks or any Mexican Liga MX predictions, you need to see what soccer insider Brandt Sutton has to say. 

Sutton, a former collegiate soccer player, has been SportsLine’s top soccer editor for nearly five years. He has followed soccer closely for much longer and factors in managerial tactics, projected lineups and past performances to make the most-informed decisions possible, keeping his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Sutton has also been on a roll with his best bets, going 10-2 in his last 12 picks and returning nearly $700 for $100 bettors who have followed his soccer picks.

Now, Sutton has analyzed the Club America vs. Chivas matchup from all sides and just locked in his coveted picks and Liga MX predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Chivas vs. Club America:

• Club America vs. Chivas spread: Chivas -0.5 (+140)
• Club America vs. Chivas over-under: 2.5 goals 
• Club America vs. Chivas money line: America +205, Chivas +140, Draw +205 
• AMR: Fourteen of its 16 goals allowed were on shots inside the penalty box 
• CHV: Just one of its 14 goals conceded came on a shot from outside the box

Why you should back Chivas

The fans in Guadalajara should give the home side an edge, and that will be boosted by the league banning visiting fans after last weekend’s violent incident at Queretaro. Chivas has given up 14 goals, but America has allowed the second-most in the league at 16. That could spell trouble against a Chivas side that has scored 15 and is third in the league in total shots (98). America has allowed a goal on 15.4 percent of shots it has faced, the worst mark in the league.

Only three teams have scored more goals than Guadalajara, and the squad leads the league in possession at 60 percent. Chivas is a dangerous shooting team from outside the penalty box, with eight of its 15 goals coming from that range. Ernesto Vega is tied for fourth in the league with four goals, and two were on long free kicks. He comes off a two-game suspension for a confrontation with a referee, and the team took four points from the two games he missed. 

Why you should back Club America

Las Aguilas know it’s time to get rolling, and they have had a week to regroup after a 2-1 loss to Monterrey last Saturday. They have allowed an alarming number of goals, but they conceded the second-fewest in the Apertura. America yielded 10 in those 17 matches, and it had allowed just one over the previous two games before the loss to Monterrey. It held the ball for 53 percent of the match and was even on total shots but couldn’t find an equalizer in the second half.  

The last meeting in Guadalajara ended in a 3-0 America victory last March, and the teams played to a 0-0 draw in September. America had 34 shots, 15 on target, over the two matches, while Chivas had 11 attempts and just four on net. Las Aguilas held the ball for 54 percent in the victory and 56 in the draw. Henry Martin scored twice in the March meeting, and he has two goals in the Clausura, along with midfielder Salvador Reyes Chavez and defender Bruno Valdes.

How to make Liga MX and Club America vs. Chivas picks

Sutton has scrutinized the Chivas vs. Club America matchup from every angle, and he is leaning over on the goal total. He also provides another confident best bet and has a full breakdown of the match. He’s only sharing his expert Mexican Liga MX picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Club America vs. Chivas in Saturday’s Mexican Liga MX matchup? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Chivas vs. Club America match, all from the soccer insider who is tuned into leagues all over the world, and find out.