Chelsea vs. Leeds prediction, odds, line: Expert reveals 2022 English Premier League picks for August 21

Chelsea hopes to take out their frustration on Leeds United when they visits Elland Road for a 2022-23 English Premier League match on Sunday. However, the hosts have some pent-up aggression of their own. Both teams played to 2-2 draws last weekend, with both conceding the equalizer in the final 10 minutes. Chelsea gave up the tying goal six minutes into second-half stoppage time Sunday, following a controversial non-call of a foul in the box on a corner kick. Manager Thomas Tuchel had a tense exchange with Tottenham boss Antonio Conte, and both received red cards. Leeds, meanwhile, appeared to be cruising to a victory Saturday against Southampton before the Saints sprang to life and came away with the draw on a tying goal in the 81st minute. Chelsea finished third last season while Leeds was 17th, but both have four points after two games.

Kickoff in Leeds, England is set for 9 a.m ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Chelsea as the -180 favorite (risk $180 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in its latest Leeds vs. Chelsea odds. Leeds are the +470 underdog, a regulation draw is listed at +325 and the over/under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before making any Chelsea vs. Leeds picks or bets, make sure you check out the English Premier League predictions from proven soccer insider Martin Green.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated almost $35,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has broken down the Chelsea vs. Leeds matchup from every angle and just locked in his picks and Premier League predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Leeds vs. Chelsea:

• Leeds vs. Chelsea spread: Chelsea -1.5 (+150)
• Leeds vs. Chelsea over/under: 2.5 goals
• Leeds vs. Chelsea money line: Leeds +470, Chelsea -180, Draw +325
• Leeds: It has been outscored 15-12 in its past 10 league matches (3-4-3).
• Chelsea: It has a 15-12 goal advantage in its past 10 EPL games (4-4-2).
• Leeds vs. Chelsea picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back Chelsea

The Blues hope to bounce back in a big way after letting go of what would have been a huge victory against the team that finished fourth last season. Chelsea held the ball for 64% of the match and had a 16-10 edge in shots, but the attackers failed to get on the board. New arrival Kalidou Koulibaly and fellow defender Reece James were making plays all day, and they recorded the goals. Now, the Blues are looking for some excitement from the likes of Raheem Sterling, Mason Mount and Kai Havertz, and possibly even USMNT star Christian Pulisic.

Sterling scored 13 goals for Manchester City last season but has been invisible for stretches so far. Mount scored 11 and had 10 assists, but he hasn’t converted on his chances yet. Pulisic scored six despite starting just 13 games in 2021-22, while Havertz had eight in 22 starts. They could get going against a Leeds team that allowed 79 goals last season, second-most in the league. Chelsea conceded 33, third-fewest, and scored 34 more goals (76-42). Just 11 of the 33 goals the Blues allowed came on the road, and they have not lost to Leeds since 2002 (6-2-0).

Why you should back Leeds 

The Whites also will have a chip on their shoulder after allowing two goals in the final 18 minutes of last weekend’s match. They held the ball for 58 percent of the match against the Saints but couldn’t hold on. They had just 40 percent possession in the opener against Wolves but came away with a 2-1 victory. They have nine shots on target in the two games, tied for third-most in the league. Veteran Spanish midfielder Rodrigo has been on fire in the early going, scoring three goals, including a brace last weekend, after scoring six goals all of last season.

Leeds added a lot of pieces in the offseason to avoid flirting with relegation again. USMNT players Brenden Aaronson and Tyler Adams were part of that, and both should start in midfield for the third straight week. Luis Sinisterra, who had 12 goals and seven assists last season with Feyenoord in the Dutch Eredivisie, is a solid option off the bench. Forward Jack Harrison has two assists and can always find room to operate. The Blues haven’t gotten a goal from an attacker in the run of play so far, with two coming from defenders and the other on a penalty.

How to make Chelsea vs. Leeds picks

Green has broken down the Chelsea vs. Leeds match from every angle, and he is leaning Over on the goal total. He also provides his two confident best bets, including one player to score at plus money, and has a full breakdown of the match. He’s only sharing those picks here.

So, who wins Leeds vs. Chelsea in Sunday’s English Premier League matchup? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Chelsea vs. Leeds match, all from the European soccer expert who has generated almost $35,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons.