Atletico Madrid vs. Cadiz prediction, odds: Expert reveals Spanish La Liga picks for Friday, March 11

Cadiz is fighting desperately to get out of the relegation zone at the bottom of the La Liga standings, but that battle takes a difficult turn on Friday against fourth place Atletico Madrid. When the clubs met at the end of November, Atletico showed no mercy, and pummeled Cadiz, 4-1. In that match, striker Angel Correa and forward Matheus Cunha each scored a goal, but their availability for Friday’s match is in question as they are currently carrying injuries.

Kickoff from Wanda Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid, Spain, is set for 3 p.m. ET. Atletico is the -320 favorite (risk $320 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in the latest Atletico Madrid vs. Cadiz odds from Caesars Sportsbook, with Cadiz as the substantial +1100 underdog. A draw is priced at +380 and the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before locking in any Atletico Madrid vs. Cadiz picks, see the La Liga predictions from SportsLine soccer insider Brandt Sutton. 

Sutton, a former collegiate soccer player, has been SportsLine’s top soccer editor for nearly five years. He has followed soccer closely for much longer and factors in managerial tactics, projected lineups and past performances to make the most-informed decisions possible, keeping his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe. 

Now, Sutton has broken down Cadiz vs. Atletico Madrid from all sides and just locked in his picks and La Liga predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Atletico Madrid vs. Cadiz:

• Atletico Madrid vs. Cadiz spread: Atletico -1.5 (-105)
• Atletico Madrid vs. Cadiz over-under: 2.5 goals 
• Atletico Madrid vs. Cadiz money line: Atletico -320, Cadiz +1100, Draw +380
• ATL: Atletico has outscored opponents 9-3 over last five matches in all competitions
• CAD: FW Anthony Lozano scoreless in last nine La Liga starts

Why you should back Atletico Madrid

Conflicting motivations are at play in this match: For Cadiz, it’s to get out of the bottom three to stave off relegation. For Madrid, it’s to stay in the top four La Liga clubs and maintain its position to qualify for UEFA Champions League play. Madrid is just two points ahead of Real Betis in the standings, and a positive result would give them a bit of breathing room with just 10 games left to play after this weekend. 

Madrid defeated Betis last Sunday, 3-1 and keeper Jan Oblak stopped six of the eight shots their opponents put on frame. Oblak has the lowest save percentage in La Liga, but over his last four league matches, he’s saved 15 of the 17 shots on target that have come his way. Although Atletico Madrid doesn’t focus on maintaining possession in a match, it does do well to pressure defensively in the midfield, and is second in the league in tackles made in the middle third of the field this season with 200.

Why you should back Cadiz

Cadiz is clawing its way out of La Liga obscurity with tough defense, rather than suddenly finding a miracle formula on offense. The combined score of its last four matches is 3-2 in favor of the club, and two of those fixtures ended in scoreless draws. Cadiz won its last match 2-0 on the strength of goals by Ruben Alcaraz and Oussama Idrissi, who both joined the team on loan during the winter transfer window. Recent results suggest Cadiz is finding its rhythm and chemistry following the infusion of some much-needed added talent.

Defender Carlos Akapo has become more proactive on both ends of the pitch in this recent run. Of his 284 carries on the ball towards goal this season, 119 of them have come in the past four matches. That has translated to six shot-creating actions for Cadiz, which is half of his total for the season.

How to make Cadiz vs. Atletico Madrid picks

Sutton has taken an in-depth look at Atletico Madric vs. Cadiz and locked in his best bets. He’s only sharing his expert La Liga picks at SportsLine.

Who wins Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Atletico Madrid vs. Cadiz, all from the soccer expert who has his finger on the pulse of the game, and find out.