Warriors vs. Grizzlies prediction, odds, line, spread: 2022 NBA picks, March 28 best bets model on 83-51 run

The Golden State Warriors (48-27) go on the road to match up against the Memphis Grizzlies (52-23) on Monday night. Golden State, currently third in the Western Conference standings, is hoping to get back on track after dropping two straight games. On the flip side, Memphis, currently second in the West, is playing terrific basketball, winning four straight games. The biggest star on both sides will miss this game. Steph Curry (foot) is out for Golden State, while Ja Morant (knee) is out for Memphis. The Grizzlies also list Jaren Jackson Jr. (thigh) and Brandon Clarke (hip) as questionable. Golden State head coach Steve Kerr said has indicated that the team will also rest veterans Draymond Green, Klay Thompson and Otto Porter Jr. in this one.

Tipoff is at 8 p.m. ET at FedExForum. Memphis is favored by 10 points in the latest Warriors vs. Grizzlies odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under is 221.5. Before locking in any Grizzlies vs. Warriors picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 24 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 83-51 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,600. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Grizzlies vs. Warriors, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines and trends for Warriors vs. Grizzlies:

• Warriors vs. Grizzlies spread: Memphis -10.5
• Warriors vs. Grizzlies over-under: 222 points
• Warriors vs. Grizzlies money line: Memphis -550, Golden State +400
• MEM: Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as home favorites
• GS: Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as underdogs

Why the Grizzlies can cover

Forward Dillon Brooks is a gritty wing defender who plays with a lot of intensity. Brooks has an all-around offensive game, flashing good range on the perimeter as well. The Oregon product is averaging 17.9 points, 3.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. Brooks has scored 19-plus in three straight games. On March 23, the 2017 second-round pick recorded 21 points, three rebounds and knocked down two 3-pointers.

With Morant sidelined, guard Tyus Jones has gotten an uptick in minutes. Jones is a smart and instinctive player in the backcourt for Memphis. The Duke product logs 8.4 points, 4.3 assists and shoots 38 percent from three. Jones has scored 10-plus in four straight games, including two double-doubles during that stretch. In his last outing, he supplied 13 points, four rebounds and 10 assists. 

Why the Warriors can cover

Guard Jordan Poole is a great athlete with a well-rounded offensive game. Poole attacks the rim strong but can shoot from the outside. The Michigan product is averaging a career-high 17.8 points, 3.2 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game. Poole also knocks down 36 percent of his attempts from downtown. On March 23, he amassed 30 points, nine assists and went 7-for-13 from three.

Forward Andrew Wiggins is athletic and explosive. Wiggins can create his own shot on all three levels. The Kansas product logs 17.2 points, 4.4 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game. Wiggins has scored 20-plus in three of his last six games. In his last matchup, the 2022 All-Star dropped 23 points and shot 8-for-14 from the field. 

How to make Grizzlies vs. Warriors picks

The model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 220 points. It’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Grizzlies? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.