Patriots vs. Bills odds, picks, spread, how to watch, live stream: Model shares NFL Wild Card game prediction

The New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills battled for the AFC East title all season long. The Bills came out on top with an 11-6 mark, but the Patriots (10-7) have a shot at revenge when they meet during the 2022 NFL playoffs on Saturday. As the No. 3 seed, the Bills will host the No. 6 Patriots during NFL Wild Card Weekend 2022. You can stream the game on Paramount+.

Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET from Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, N.Y. Caesars Sportsbook lists Buffalo as a four-point favorite in the latest Bills vs. Patriots odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 44. Saturday’s matchup can be seen live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan.

Paramount+ now has levels of membership so you can watch your local NFL on CBS matchups and much more. The Premium Plan is $9.99 per month and you can watch your local CBS live stream, including plenty of sports like SEC on CBS, NFL on CBS, and the PGA Tour, with no ads, on demand and the ability to download episodes for offline viewing. Both plans come with a free week to start and include the NFL on CBS, so sign up now here.

How to watch Patriots vs. Bills

• Bills vs. Patriots date: Saturday, Jan. 15
• Bills vs. Patriots time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Bills vs. Patriots TV channel: CBS 
• Bills vs. Patriots live stream: Paramount+

AFC Wild Card picks for Patriots vs. Bills

Before you tune in to Saturday’s Bills vs. Patriots game, you need to see the NFL picks from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,400 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters the 2021 NFL playoffs on an incredible 136-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

For Patriots vs. Bills, the model is backing Buffalo to cover the spread. The Patriots were one of the hottest teams in the NFL at one point this season. From Oct. 24 to Dec. 6, they reeled off seven straight wins, covering in each game during that span.

A 14-10 win at Buffalo was the final victory in that run, but the Bills got revenge just two weeks later, going to Foxborough and winning 33-21 on Dec. 26. New England lost three of its last four regular-season games, while Buffalo ended the season on a four-game winning streak.

New England’s defense gave up at least 27 points in three of those four late losses, and SportsLine’s model is calling for a big day from Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen. The simulations show him throwing for 231 yards and almost two touchdowns, while he adds more than 40 yards on the ground.

That helps Buffalo cover well over 50 percent of the time, while a poor showing on offense from the Pats is a contributing factor to the under hitting well over 50 percent of the time as well. 

How to watch, live stream the NFL on CBS

Now that you know what to pick, get ready to watch your live local NFL on CBS games on Paramount+ on any device you want. Visit Paramount+ now to stream your live local CBS sporting events, including the NFL, SEC on CBS, and so much more.