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Spurs vs. Mavericks odds, line: 2021 NBA picks, Nov. 12 predictions from proven computer model

Written by on November 12, 2021

The San Antonio Spurs and the Dallas Mavericks are set to square off in a Southwest Division matchup at 8:30 p.m. ET Friday at AT&T Center. The Spurs are 4-7 overall and 2-3 at home, while Dallas is 7-4 overall and 2-3 on the road. These teams have already played twice this season with the Mavs winning both contests.

Dallas is favored by 2.5 points in the latest Spurs vs. Mavericks odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 219.5. Before entering any Mavericks vs. Spurs picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 4 of the 2021-22 NBA season up over $500 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It’s also on a stunning 110-73 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Spurs vs. Mavericks. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Mavericks vs. Spurs:

  • Spurs vs. Mavericks spread: Spurs +2.5
  • Spurs vs. Mavericks over-under: 219.5 points

Featured Game | San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks

What you need to know about the Spurs

San Antonio didn’t have too much trouble with the Sacramento Kings at home on Wednesday as it won 136-117. San Antonio relied on the efforts of point guard Dejounte Murray, who had 26 points and seven assists along with six boards, and power forward Thaddeus Young, who had 17 points and eight assists in addition to five rebounds.

San Antonio will be shorthanded in the frontcourt for Friday’s game as both Jakob Poeltl (health and safety protocols) and Zach Collins (ankle) are both out. But fortunately, the Spurs have solid depth as seven players are averaging in double-figures. Murray leads the team with 18.4 points and is also averaging 8.2 assists and 7.9 rebounds per game.

What you need to know about the Mavericks

Meanwhile, Dallas came up short against the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday, falling 117-107. Dallas’ loss shouldn’t obscure the performances of point guard Luka Doncic, who almost dropped a triple-double on 20 points, 10 dimes and eight rebounds, and power forward Kristaps Porzingis, who posted a double-double on 22 points and 12 rebounds.

After posting a top 10 offensive rating in each of the past two seasons — including leading the league in 2019-20 — Dallas ranks just 23rd this season. A big reason for the decline has been the team’s struggles with shooting the ball as the Mavs rank 25th in field-goal percentage and 26th in three-point percentage. The Mavs are relatively healthy for Friday’s game with Maxi Kleber (oblique) the only rotation player unavailable.

How to make Spurs vs. Mavericks picks

The model has simulated Mavericks vs. Spurs 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Spurs vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits nearly 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out. 

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